The latest from the amazingness that is Maira Kalman: "I Lift My Lamp Beside the Golden Door".
Aug 31, 2009
Aug 30, 2009
Ikea changes font, angers typophiles
AP 8/30: Latest Ikea Design has Critics Fuming
Ikea, the Swedish furniture chain, said Sunday it never expected such a backlash after switching typeface in its latest catalog.
The company's decision to make its first such font change in 50 years — from the iconic Futura typeface to the Verdana one — has caused a worldwide reaction on the Internet.
Aug 29, 2009
The science of parenting
All Things Considered interviews Po Bronson - 8/27, 7 minutes 47 seconds. I have no kids, but this interview still made me want to read his book.
I cannot imagine how daunting it must be to not only decide the best way to raise a child, but also to peacefully come to an agreement with your partner on the best way to do it. Why is it that we are evolutionarily predisposed to loving our children, but not to knowing how to raise them? Often the right answer is a mystery to us, but even when we have an intuitive inkling, the science often suggests we're wrong.
Evolution works in mysterious ways, I guess.
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Related:
WSJ reviews NurtureShock.
Tyler Cowen calls it "interesting at times".
I cannot imagine how daunting it must be to not only decide the best way to raise a child, but also to peacefully come to an agreement with your partner on the best way to do it. Why is it that we are evolutionarily predisposed to loving our children, but not to knowing how to raise them? Often the right answer is a mystery to us, but even when we have an intuitive inkling, the science often suggests we're wrong.
Evolution works in mysterious ways, I guess.
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Related:
WSJ reviews NurtureShock.
Tyler Cowen calls it "interesting at times".
Aug 28, 2009
Problems in the vending machine industry
Vending machines fascinate me to no end. They fascinate me so much that I once read a book cover to cover on the history of vending machines -- yes, it exists -- and came away even more fascinated.
NPR's Planet Money blog speculates that vending machines could be in trouble as more people sacrifice premium-priced snacks in favor of bulk-sized containers. Whatever. I am always bullish on vending machines, but sometimes I think only the Japanese share my admiration.
Topographic landscape jewelry [photo]
For the unbelievably low price of $334.36!
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Earlier: 3-D printing is getting cheaper.
Bob Dylan immortalized through GPS navigation system
Telegraph.co.uk reports (8/24) that Bob Dylan could join Homer Simpson, Kim Cattrall, and Mr. T as a voice of a satellite navigation system. If true, I am worried that one of the all time greats could be remembered as little more than a creepy old man with a funny voice. There is already evidence to suggest this trend.
In other news, Dylan is planning to release a Christmas album for charity Oct 13.
Aug 27, 2009
Media scare stories over time [infographic]
It is interesting to see when scare stories lost their stimulation. They all but disappeared after 9/11 for a stretch of half a year or so, and then for a shorter time around the elections and economic collapse of last year.
My favorite Triangle restaurants and things
It is hard to believe I have been in the Triangle for over 9 years now (3 in North Raleigh, 4 at NCSU, and 2 in Durham). In that time, I have found lots of delightful places. Below are some of my favorites. These are the places I would take an out of town visitor, but I hope locals will get some utility from this list, too, as many of the places are not well known.
Restaurants
Other Sites
Restaurants
- Mami Nora's Peruvian Rotisserie - NE Durham
- India Palace (lunch buffet) - Chapel Hill
- Tower Indian Restaurant - Morrisville
- A Gracious Plenty - Durham, Near RTP
- Big Ed's (breakfast) - Downtown Raleigh
- Taqueria El Paraiso - East of Downtown Durham
- Mitch's Tavern (chili and limeade) - Raleigh, by NCSU
- Dain's Place - Durham, near Duke
- Bella Italia - Wake Forest, near Wakefield
- Hog Heaven - NW Durham
- Sitar India Palace - West Durham
- Cosmic Cantina - Durham, near Duke
Other Sites
- Sarah P. Duke Gardens - Durham
- Outdoor Movies at the NC Museum of Art - Raleigh
- Pullen Park - Raleigh, near NCSU
- Raleigh Little Theatre and Rose Gardens - Raleigh, by NCSU
- Movies at the Carolina Theatre - Downtown Durham
- Reynold's Coliseum - NCSU
- Wandering around between Hillsborough St. and Wade Ave. - Raleigh
- Maple View Farm Country Ice Cream Store - Technically Hillsborough, actually boonies
- Cameron Indoor Stadium - Duke
- Duke's Nasher Museum of Art - Duke
- Kiefer Garden Center & Nursery - Durham
- Durham Bulls and the American Tobacco Campus - Downtown Durham
- Bike trails near Lassiter Mill Rd. - Raleigh
- Greenway trail from NC Museum of Art to bridge over I-40 - Raleigh
- Eno River trail - Durham
- NCSU's observatory - Raleigh, in a horse farm between the RBC center and an apartment complex
- Flea Market at the NC State Fairgrounds - Raleigh every weekend
- Tobacco Trail south of I-40 - Durham
- Cornwallis Rd. Park Frisbee Golf Course - Durham
- Morehead Planetarium - Chapel Hill
Maybe one day I will add descriptions to this list with explanations of what makes each place special. Until then, here is where you can find them:
View Larger Map
Final count
Durham 16
Raleigh 11
View Larger Map
Final count
Durham 16
Raleigh 11
Chapel Hill 2
Morrisville 1
Wake Forest 1
Hillsborough 1
Morrisville 1
Wake Forest 1
Hillsborough 1
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William Dunk, founder of a local management consulting firm, created a comprehensive, in depth Best of Triangle list which includes recommendations of basic services like barbers and auto mechanics in addition to the regular tourist-worthy stuff. Recommended.
For advice on how to pick restaurants, pick up a copy of Tyler Cowen's Discover Your Inner Economist which has a section explaining the economic rules influencing where the best restaurants are located. His famous ethnic dining guide (DC area restaurants only, unfortunately) explains the economic rules influencing what to order at a restaurant, which is arguably more important than which restaurant you choose.
Aug 26, 2009
Incentives don't work [video]
In a TED talk released yesterday (filmed in July), Dan Pink explains that extrinsic incentives work in only a surprisingly small set of simple activities with clear goals. He goes so far as to say that in all other cases -- including any task which involves just a tiny bit of creativity, which is probably 99% of the things you do every day -- extrinsic incentives not only don't work, but actually do harm, leading to decreased productivity relative to no extrinsic incentives. He argues this is one of the most robust findings in the social sciences. His conclusion is that businesses should pay people fairly but without any additional incentives, and should give employees lots of autonomy so that their intrinsic motivations may shine.
I just saved you 18 minutes (you're welcome), but you still might like to watch the entertaining video below.
I tried examining this argument in depth, but the results are not ready for public viewing yet. I am afraid I might actually agree with him. Hopefully some smarter economists will come along and poke some holes in the theory before I say anything stupid. More to come soon...
Public attitudes to industries [chart]
I am a little surprised airlines are not lower, but maybe that's just because of my recent crappy experience in Seattle. Also, though, the Federal Government ... an "industry"!? That's a frightening thought.
From The Economist
Aug 25, 2009
Interval training: fitness made efficient
Early research on interval training is promising, says Morning Edition 8/24.
"In the 20-minute bout," Boutcher says, the actual hard exercise totaled just 8 minutes, "so it's not that much exercise." But the payoff was significant.
Over the course of four months, participants lost an average of 6 pounds of body fat. By comparison, those who cycled at a steady pace for 40 minutes, without mixing in the interval sprints, lost less than 2 pounds.
You can throw all kinds of predator-chasing-prey evolutionary theories at this one, but to me it's just another mark against marathon-style running as a form of exercise. I have never understood why people go running when they can get exercise much more pleasurably -- why not play soccer, basketball, or my sport of choice, racquetball? But as Scott Adams eloquently explains, perhaps the best reason to avoid marathon-style running (at least on pavement or concrete) is your precious knees.
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Related: TIME cover story 8/9: Why Exercise Won't Make You Thin
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Addendum: See the comments for a thoughtful retort from reader Bob.
Motley Fool Conversations (part II)
It's official: after only 6 shows, Motley Fool Conversations is the best podcast in existence. (You had a good run, EconTalk.)
I posted earlier about the podcast's first three guests (Tyler Cowen, John Mackey, and Chris Anderson), and the next three guests have been equally as impressive: Jonah Lehrer (my post about his book), Michael Lewis (of Moneyball fame), and a short but sweet one with Michael Mauboussin about some financial misconceptions.
My only concern is that, at this pace, they might exhaust themselves of worthy guests after another month!
Let me make it easier on you: click here to subscribe to the Motley Fool Conversations feed.
Beats per minute over time [chart]
Beats per minute of Britain's top-selling singles for every year since 1960.
I do not notice any trends in this display. Maybe there is no trend, or maybe there are too few data points. The power of this chart could easily be enhanced by expanding the analysis to, for example, the top 100 singles each year.
From the Times Labs Blog
Aug 24, 2009
Personas: data portraits of online identities
Personas is a nifty creation from MIT's Social Media Lab, describing itself as follows:
[Personas] uses sophisticated natural language processing and the Internet to create a data portrait of one's aggregated online identity. In short, Personas shows you how the Internet sees you.
It is, possibly, the future of history:
It is meant for the viewer to reflect on our current and future world, where digital histories are as important if not more important than oral histories, and computational methods of condensing our digital traces are opaque and socially ignorant.
Big Mac purchasing power [chart]
Economists and their Big Macs, such a strange relationship.
The average Chicagoan working an 8 hour day would be able to afford 34 Big Macs.
From The Economist.
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On a side note, it bothers me that a high quality news source such at The Economist with access to fascinating data limits themselves to cartoony, low data-density displays. I wish they would take a lesson from The New York Times and display information like this in an interactive map showing changes over time.
Bank robberies in the recession
I did a double-take on this one: The number of bank robberies has decreased since last year. Yes, decreased.
This might be nothing more than a statistical aberration, or it could say something interesting about crime. There are two competing forces here: (1) the recession has led to more people in desperate need of money, and (2) the recession has led to lower expected rewards for bank robberies because there is less money in the banks [I am guessing this is true, but it could be that more people are taking money out of securities and putting it into banks instead, in which case this trend would make no sense at all]. If this trend is more than an aberration, it could mean that (pure speculation here), contrary to popular belief, the primary driver of crime is expected reward, not desperation.
Bank robbers are most likely to rob a bank between 9 a.m. and 11 a.m. on Friday; more robbers stated their demands verbally than by passing a note, and only 4 percent of incidents involved violence.
Aug 19, 2009
Back from vacation ... regular posting will resume next week
For now, enjoy the view from Homer, Alaska.
Aug 18, 2009
Human development maps over time
The Map Scroll had a series of posts on the human development index including these maps from the United Nations. It's a welcome reminder of how far we've come in 26 years.
Aug 17, 2009
How people spend their day [infographic]
How Different Groups Spend Their Day -- NYT (7/31)
Another beautiful, intuitive design from the New York Times, with interesting ways to slice the data. My only complaint is that there are not quite enough ways to slice the data -- I'd like to see more variables, but more importantly, I'd like to be able to combine variables, e.g. employed white male with bachelor's. It would also be useful to be able to view charts side by side for easy comparison.
One interesting observation from playing with the data is that the higher the education level, the more time people spend eating. This is counterintuitive: I would expect that the more valuable people's time, the less time they spend eating. This relationship holds true for socializing and TV & movies and even sleeping, so why not with eating? Granted the differences are not large in magnitude (only about 5 minutes difference), but they are probably significant. I'm not sure how to explain this. The same counterintuitive relationship holds for sports.
If you will indulge me for one more mini-rant, why is it that infographics from popular news sources only focus on averages and completely ignore variability/dispersion? It's like they go half way to explaining the data and then stop because they think their audience is too dumb to understand the concept of variability (either that or they [the journalists] themselves are too dumb to communicate variability).
NPR listeners
NPR listeners are:
64% more likely than average to have traveled abroad in the last 3 years.
2.5 times more likely than average to be Mac users at home.
28% less likely than average to say celebrity endorsements influence their purchase decisions.
45% more likely than average to drink Pabst Blue Ribbon.
70% of NPR listeners say they voted in the most recent election, as opposed to 44% of U.S. adults.
More NPR listeners drive pickups than Volvos.
NPR’s audience has increased 104% in the last decade, compared to a 29%, 24%, and 29% decreases in newspaper, network news, and radio news audiences, respectively.
Listeners spend more than 7 hours a week listening to NPR stations.
(via one of NPR’s multiple Twitter feeds, @nprconnect)
I am not sure how well NPR listeners can be generalized: I imagine Car Talk and This American Life have quite different audiences, and besides, people have different programming options depending on their location.
[Love Puppy via girlfriend]
Aug 14, 2009
Mathematical proof that the less you know, the more you make
Postulate 1: Knowledge is Power.
Postulate 2: Time is Money.
As every scientist knows,
Work = Power * Time
Since Knowledge = Power, and Time = Money, we have:
Work = Knowledge * Money
Solving for Money, we get:
Money = Work / KnowledgeThus, as Knowledge decreases, Money increases, regardless of how much Work is done.
(Originally from Basic Jokes, found via the lovely lady)
Aug 13, 2009
Satisfaction
Todd Kashdan writing on Psychology Today (6/8):
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Related:
Explore your deepest, most central values by devoting time for introspection. Schedule this time as you would your workout sessions and doctor appointments. Imagine, for a moment, that you could wave a magic wand to ensure the approval and admiration of everyone on the planet, forever. In that case, what would you choose to do with your life? Think about your answer. Don't let the opinions and expectations of others determine the outcome of this exercise. When you are the author of your behavior and choices, you'll devote more effort, make more progress, and derive more satisfaction and meaning from your goals.
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Related:
Discovery
So many centuries after the Creation, it is unlikely that anyone could find hitherto unknown lands of any value.
--Spanish Royal Commission, rejecting Christopher Columbus's proposal to sail West.
Aug 12, 2009
The central ethical issue of genomics
The central ethical issue underlying the use of the Human Genome Project generated knowledge is making the distinction between an understanding of our bodies and an understanding of who were are as embodied beings.
-Bioethicist Edmund Pellegrino
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Related: An excellent 60 minute PBS piece with James Watson called Pandora's Box discusses eugenics and other ethical issues related to DNA.
Geotagged soundscapes
A user generated collection of the world's sounds is being hosted by the BBC. It's certainly a worthwhile project although I wonder how many people actually click on more than one or two of these before getting bored and disappearing forever.
The Pop-Up City has more.
Aug 11, 2009
Denali
Denali National Park is an area about the size of Massachusetts visited by about 450,000 people a year. It is home to the tallest mountain in North America, Mt. McKinley (known to most locals as just "Denali"). The park is beautiful beyond description and was one of the most amazing experiences of my life.
By car you can drive only about 15 miles into the park before rangers turn you back; to really get into the park you must board a converted school bus. The bus tour was sort of like an Alaskan safari frequently stopping so tourists could take pictures of wildlife. It was great fun to search for movement along the hillside, and to witness the dramatic changes in terrain, but you really need to step off the bus and away from its engine to experience the park in all its majesty.
There are no real hiking trails inside the park. You just holler to the bus driver if you want to be let off, and you are free to roam wherever you like. When you are ready to be picked up, you just find your way back to the road and give the hitchhiking sign to the next driver that comes by. The photo above was taken in the Polychrome area, where my girlfriend and I first hiked.
To truly appreciate the tundra, it must be hiked. The ground is covered not in grass but in some sort of squishy moss; with every step, your feet sink probably a couple of inches. Standing out here you can see for miles, and since the landscape is completely still, it's not hard to spot bear or caribou wandering around on a distant mountain (or, in our case, a bear chasing a caribou up a mountain). Sound, too, travels. In places sheltered from the breeze, you can hear for miles because there is nothing making noise -- no rustling leaves, no birds chirping, no humming of roads, planes, or AC units. We could hear every word coming from a few fellow hikers on the mountaintop probably 1,000 yards away, speaking at a normal level. It's hard to imagine how predators could sneak up on anything up there.
Only in Denali, it's quipped, are you more likely to see a bear than the tallest mountain in North America. You have about a 95% chance of seeing a bear in the park (and similar chances to see caribou, dall sheep, and moose) -- the average bus, the driver said, sees 5-7 bears -- but Mt. McKinley peeks out of the clouds only about 20% of the days in the summer. From this, you might think that the park is teaming with wildlife. It's not. It is just that you can see for such long distances that it would be unusual not to see large animals wandering around. We were both surprised at the lack of wildlife given the giant salad bar that it is. Even the birds are few and far between. The most frequent sighting was little prairie dog looking things called arctic ground squirrels, which apparently serve as snickers bars to bears, and is eaten by just about everything in the park.
There is a grizzly bear in the photo below. Can you spot it?
Try now.
Track your dollar bills, literally
Where's George? is a nifty (and kind of geeky) little site that has been around for awhile. It was created by a Bostonian database programmer who was curious about where the bills in his pockets had been before they reached him. The site allows you to enter the serial number of your bills, and, if other people have already entered the same bill into the system, to view the bill's voyage, at least the part of its voyage that was entered by other Where's George users.
The site has a decent following with tens of thousands of regular users, but they still only manage to account for less than a thousandth of one percent of all bills in circulation. The top users engage in a sort of competition to see who can get the most "hits", or have a "hit" in every state. They do this by stamping their bills with a URL to Where's George, and still the all-time most entered bill has a grand total of ... wait for it ... 15 entries.
I have been a member of the site since April '07 (link to my user profile), and I just logged back in again the other day to see if any of the 13 bills I entered had any hits. They don't.
I like the idea of the site and I think it would be especially interesting if more people used it, but since they don't, that got me wondering about more effective ways to get the same sort of information: It would be really interesting (in a geeky and useless sort of way) to put a GPS enabled chip in a small sample of bills hot off the printing presses so that we could follow their entire journey from birth to death. But you would still probably have the same problem that only a small group of nerds would care.
Aug 10, 2009
Insect flight patterns visualized [video]
Flight patterns of insects composed of long-exposure photos, created by Charlie McCarthy.
Long exposure photography is an underexploited way of visualizing and understanding patterns in nature, in my opinion.
(hat tip: Kottke)
Aug 7, 2009
Ohio is a piano
This is way too cool.
There are 88 keys on a piano, and 88 counties in Ohio. And, if you squint hard enough, it kind of might also maybe look like a piano.
Anyway, the Ohio as a piano Flash application proves that good things can happen as a result of boredom.
Andy at the Cartogrammer Blog has much more.
Off to the Great Northwest
Posting will be less frequent after today as I will be vacationing and a little business-ing in Alaska(!) -- Denali, Anchorage, Seward, Kenai, Homer, and whichever little harbor towns in between -- and Seattle(!) until 8/19. If I can find internet, I might post some photos.
My goal is to find an opportunity to use my favorite-word-that-doesn't-actually-exist, Meese (pl. Moose), and also to not step between a baby bear and his/her mother.
This will be my first experience couch surfing. After I get back, I will post about my experiences and my theories about couch surfing in general, but after speaking with my hosts I already have a very positive feeling about it.
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Related:
The size of Alaska in perspective (it makes Texas look tiny).
Aug 6, 2009
The Universe in perspective, sort of [video]
This is a nice attempt, but I am afraid still does not properly demonstrate scale. It gives the impression that there is much less nothingness (or dark matter) between planets, solar systems, or galaxies than there actually is.
(hat tip: weird things)
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Related: Visualize the solar system
Doing good every day [chart]
Ben Franklin's daily goals.
Maira Kalman brilliantly combines image and text to create a story of Ben Franklin's legacy called Can Do.
This stuff is best-selling book quality -- I hope the NYT is paying her handsomely for this.
Taxation fact of the day
In the US, the top 1% earners now pay more of the total tax share (40.4%) than the bottom 95% earners (39.4%). So the top 1% have about 21% of the nation's wealth and pay about 40% of the nation's taxes. (Note that this trend has nothing to do with Obama; it's been a steady trend with the change actually occurring in the W. Bush presidency.)
More from Carpe Diem.
Aug 5, 2009
"The Dude" phenomenon: The story of Lebowski fans
A new documentary attempts to figure out why the film is so popular. LA Times (7/30)
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I once was on the same plane as Jeff Bridges. When I mentioned this to one of my co-workers, the name sounded familiar but they couldn't quite place him. I said "Jeffrey Lebowski" and they immediately understood.
Bridges, I might add, looked like he was still in character.
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I get annoyed when movies I like reach cult status. Cult status seems to apply to movies that touch a societal nerve but people aren't quite willing to accept as "good" movies in some critical Oscar-nominated sense maybe because they aren't formulated as Greek tragedies or because their meaning is not deep underlying or abstract. The Big Lebowski, The Royal Tenenbaums, and The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou are three of my all-time favorite movies fitting this description. Their cult status make them somewhat less appealing because, I guess, I don't want to feel like I am a fan of movies for which frat boys go out and dress as the characters for Halloween. Because if frat boys like it, it makes it harder to believe that these movies will ultimately be seen as art ahead of their time.
College's effect on religiosity
God and Majors (Hat tip: Tyler Cowen)
My university like many others had a couple regular evangelists preaching about the Godlessness of our studies to any students within hearing distance whether they were paying attention or not. Interestingly, they might have been onto something. The humanities and social sciences, it seems, have a significantly negative effect on religiosity.
...At least now I can blame economics for my piss-poor 'spirituality, sense of purpose, and faith'.
Smoking infographic
Two initial reactions: 1.) Wow, Russia smokes like a fiend. 2.) I had no idea so many states have banned smoking in restaurants. That, to me, is just silly -- what's wrong with letting the restaurant owners choose their own smoking policy?
(Hat tip: Dustin)
Aug 4, 2009
Analyzing the '1000 songs to hear before you die' [infographic]
Designer Sean Carmody analyzes the Guardian's list of 1000 songs to hear before you die, concluding that Love is old-fasioned, and Sex is less so.
(Hat tip: Dustin)
UNC economist verbally abuses the drug war
UNC economics professor emeritus Arthur Benavie, an advocate for drug legalization, was interviewed on NC Public Radio's The State of Things 7/29: The War on Drugs (~50m). I applaud The State of Things for entertaining such a controversial subject.
The basic message, as I see it, is that our current drug laws...
Target the wrong people: the pawns on the street instead of the people making huge profits usually residing in other countries.;
In the wrong way: Instead of re-integrating users into society, our laws actually work to prevent re-integration by taking away opportunities such as education, employment, etc.;
And for no good reason: Even hard drugs are probably less detrimental to well-being than most people realize. I hate the word "addiction", but Benevie quotes some stats about the rate of heroin and crack users who are "addicted" being a percentage only in the 30's, and that most heroin users, for example, are able to be pretty high functioning and keep their day job. Benevie notes that Obama could have served 10 years had he been caught using cocaine.
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I'd love to know what percentage of economists favor legalization. I am positive the rate is higher than most professions, and I would guess the total rate is above 50%, but please let us know in the comments if you can find a figure. (On a side note, I am annoyed by the term "legalization" because the suffix -ation sounds like it's asking government to do something; legalization is only asking the government to stop doing anything until they can prove why doing something makes sense.)
Milton Friedman (not exactly a centrist) articulates the case for legalization better than most, as is usually the case.
Craig Newmark is an economist I have a lot of respect for, but legalization is one of the few areas where we disagree. He took some heat for posting his views in 2006, but I think his arguments against legalization are well-reasoned and deserving of careful consideration by any legalization advocate.
Motley Fool Conversations
Motley Fool Conversations is a new podcast that has been superb thus far.
The first three guests were the following:
Chris Anderson, Wired editor and author of the best-selling (and controversial) book Free.
John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods.
Tyler Cowen, who for regular readers of this blog needs no introduction.
Aug 3, 2009
Another strong argument against our current education system
Jonah Lehrer's very short piece in the Boston Globe 8/2
Read the article for a description of a randomized control trial which suggests that IQ has little bearing on success. Traits that do predict success, Lehrer theorizes, are self-control and grit.
“Our educational approach in America is rather misguided,” Heckman says. “We’ve been focused on cognitive this, cognitive that, but we’ve mostly ignored the traits and skills that actually predict success in life."
Read the article for a description of a randomized control trial which suggests that IQ has little bearing on success. Traits that do predict success, Lehrer theorizes, are self-control and grit.
The economics of Somali piracy
7/28 Wired
(Thanks to David for the pointer.)
For his story on the economics of Somali piracy, Wired contributing editor Scott Carney spoke to one of the ocean-going hijackers. They talked about how to negotiate a ransom, when to kill a hostage and how to avoid the Navy. Here’s the uncut version of that interview.
This bit will please defenders of rational choice theory:
Under what conditions would you kill the hostages?
Hostages — especially Westerners — are our only assets, so we try our best to avoid killing them. It only comes to that if they refuse to contact the ship’s owners or agencies. Or if they attack us and we need to defend ourselves.
(Thanks to David for the pointer.)
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