Nov 30, 2009

It's tough being a bacterium

In addition to mammalian immune systems that besiege the bugs, bacteria have natural enemies called bacteriophages, viruses that kill half the bacteria on Earth every two days.

Related article: Researchers discover biological basis of 'bacterial immune system'

Wikipedia in trouble? [charts]

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." I would like to add a fourth: journalism.

An article called Fears over future of Wikipedia as 49,000 volunteers leave site is making the rounds this week. The punch line:

The English-language version of the site suffered a net loss of 49,000 volunteer 'editors' in the first three months of this year, compared with 4,900 for the same period a year earlier, according to a university study.

This is believed to be a result of increased bureaucracy to prevent errors -- such as the death of Senator Edward Kennedy being announced prematurely -- and the sense that Wikipedia is now part of the establishment.

As someone who uses Wikipedia probably an average of 5 times a day, this is frightening. But if you read the article, you will notice that despite their 49,000 number, they neglect to mention how many total contributors there are. This is especially troubling considering that the statistics are freely available via stats.wikimedia.org.

The charts simply do not tell the same story:


Total Wikipedia contributors by language, July 2001 to October 2009.


Total Wikipedia contributors with 5 or more edits per week, July 2001 to October 2009.


Total edits per day, July 2001 to October 2009.

In summary, the total number of English contributors might finally be leveling off after 9 solid years of growth. The number of active English contributors (5 or more edits per week) peaked in early 2007, and has been slowly declining since then, but it is nothing to worry about because it is still a very high number. There is a similar story to be told with the total number of edits per day.

Bottom line: You can ignore the news and sleep easily tonight because Wikipedia is in no imminent danger.

Nov 28, 2009

Yawn more often, it's good for you

Penn Gazette 10/28:

But yawning doesn’t just relax you—it quickly brings you into a heightened state of cognitive awareness. Students yawn in class, not because the teacher is boring (although that will make you yawn as well, as you try to stay focused on the monotonous speech), but because it rids the brain of sleepiness, thus helping you stay focused on important concepts and ideas. It regulates consciousness and our sense of self, and helps us become more introspective and self-aware. Of course, if you happen to find yourself trapped in a room with a dull, boring, monotonous teacher, yawning will help keep you awake.

Yawning will relax you and bring you into a state of alertness faster than any other meditation technique I know of, and because it is neurologically contagious, it’s particularly easy to teach in a group setting. One of my former students used yawning to bring her argumentative board of directors back to order in less than 60 seconds. Why? Because it helps people synchronize their behavior with others.

Read the whole thing. Fascinating throughout.

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Earlier: Stand more often, it's good for you

Nov 26, 2009

Prehistoric Diets [CBS Sunday Morning Segment]



Josh Landis and Mitch Butler consistently have some of the best 2.5 minute segments on television, and this is no exception.

The paleolithic diet theory is growing on me, but I still have some doubts. Seth Roberts pointed out some exceptions in May -- the same month I posted my rant about the diet. Next week I will post my current thoughts on what constitutes a healthy diet.

Pre-Turkey Nap [photo]



JW resting up before the big day. [I won't point them out, but there are at least two things funny about this picture.]

Nov 25, 2009

Smell Elvis

PSFK 11/18:

MyDNA is an unusual fragrance company that creates custom scents based on people’s DNA profile. They are now releasing a new line of fragrances culled from the DNA of celebrities such as Marilyn Monroe, Elvis and Michael Jackson.

Yankees World Series Win [tilt-shift time lapse]



World Series Time-Lapse by Robert Caplin, via Lens:

By the time the Yankees rushed the field to celebrate their 27th World Series victory, Robert Caplin had photographed the action — 12,000 times. The result is a romantic and captivating time-lapse presentation.

Mr. Caplin used three cameras to shoot that night so that he would have enough footage to “properly capture the narrative of the evening”; a narrative of ice melting into hot dogs, the greasy glass of a popcorn cart, the rise and the fall of the fans.

Nov 24, 2009

Silverdome sells for 0.26% of cost to build

Not a joke: Accounting for inflation, Detroit's Pontiac Silverdome was constructed at a cost of $222 million. It sold last week for $583k.

That's right, a building that holds up to 94,000 people sitting on 127 acres of land sells for the price of what is a modest-sized single-family home in some areas.

Poor Detroit.

More from Skip Sauer and Marketplace.

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Earlier:
Shrinking Detroit [infographic]
Q & A with Skip Sauer

Another sign of the times: "Unburied bodies tell the tale of Detroit"

Number of people who have ever lived



From Wikipedia:

In the 1970s it was a popular belief that 75% of all the people who had ever lived were alive in the 1970s, which would have put the total number of people who ever lived as of the 1970s as less than the current number of people alive today. This view was eventually debunked as a myth. A more recent estimate of the total number of people who have ever lived was prepared by Carl Haub of the Population Reference Bureau in 1995 and subsequently updated in 2002; the updated figure was approximately 106 billion. Haub characterized this figure as an estimate which required "selecting population sizes for different points from antiquity to the present and applying assumed birth rates to each period". Given an estimated global population of 6.2 billion in 2002, it could be inferred that about 6% of all people who had ever existed were alive in 2002.

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Above: One small piece of the Population of the Dead Infographic (Hat tip: WeLoveDataVis)

Does this describe your personality?

You have a great need for other people to like and admire you. You have a tendency to be critical of yourself. You have a great deal of unused capacity which you have not turned to your advantage. While you have some personality weaknesses, you are generally able to compensate for them. Your sexual adjustment has presented problems for you. Disciplined and self-controlled outside, you tend to be worrisome and insecure inside. At times you have serious doubts as to whether you have made the right decision or done the right thing. You prefer a certain amount of change and variety and become dissatisfied when hemmed in by restrictions and limitations. You pride yourself as an independent thinker and do not accept others’ statements without satisfactory proof. You have found it unwise to be too frank in revealing yourself to others. At times you are extroverted, affable, sociable, while at other times you are introverted, wary, reserved. Some of your aspirations tend to be pretty unrealistic. Security is one of your major goals in life.

MindHacks describes the classic study (Hat tip: Cheap Talk):

Psychologist Bertram Forer gave a personality test to his students and then asked each person to rate how the accuracy of their 'individual personality profile'. In reality, all the 'individual profiles' were identical but students tended to rate the descriptions as highly accurate. In fact, on a scale of 1-5, students rated the accuracy of their profile, on average, as 4.2.

This brings to mind the difficulty of knowing oneself, which has been a topic I've been thinking a lot about since Robert's post on his philosophy of identity. I hope to write more on this soon.

Nov 23, 2009

The price of happiness

If you ask me, I think the single worst trend in the social sciences is measuring happiness as a way to advise policy and/or individual decisions. But I will save that rant for another day.

However, it is interesting to look at the relative effects life events have on men and women. Telegraph.co.uk 11/16: Cost of happiness discovered by Australian economist.

Paul Frijters, a professor at Queensland University of Technology, has calculated a formula he claims delivers the monetary equivalent of the value of various milestones in life.

The figures represent a lump sum a person would need to receive out of the blue in order to make him or her as happy as marriage [or other event] would over a lifetime.

The end of the article has this table, with my observations below.

Marriage: woman - £8, 726.25 man - £17, 675.68
Birth of child: woman - £ 4, 866.77 man - £18, 236.39
Divorce: woman - £4, 977.08 (loss) man - £61, 116.46 (loss)
Death of a loved one: woman - £73, 204.86 (loss) man - £350, 830.36 (loss)
Illness: woman - £28, 124.61(loss) man - £201, 264.68 (loss)
Moving house: woman - £1, 453.80 (gain) man - £8, 947.11 (loss)

1. For the average woman, marriage is twice as good as the birth of a child, but for the average man, the birth of a child is slightly better.

2. Moving homes hurts men a lot -- nearly twice as much as divorce hurts women. The average woman, on the other hand, enjoys moving.

3. To see an equal decline in happiness, the average woman would have to lose five loved ones for every one the average man loses.

4. To the average man, divorce hurts nearly twice as much as the combined happiness gains of marriage and the birth of a child. To the average woman, on the other hand, the combined effect of marriage and the birth of a child is more than twice as good as divorce is bad.

5. Finally, an observation unrelated to the table: In estimating these dollar values, did Frijters have to assume that men and women value "money out of the blue" equally? If not I wonder if the magnitude of the differences between gender is partially due to men valuing "money out of the blue" more than women.

Things I'd like to blog about (part II)

Part 1 (with explanation)

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Problems with happiness research. E.g., people having just found a dime on the copy machine report greater overall life satisfaction. Also, the hedonic treadmill: Even people who become paralyzed eventually return to their original level of happiness within ~one year. And there are differences between types of happiness, particularly between pleasure and gratification. Pleasure is a signal or a byproduct; it should not be a goal.

Truth is overrated. Instead of trying to overcome biases, we should use them to our advantage.

Near death experiences. They have a fascinating history and are surprisingly common: 8 million people in the U.S. report having had one. Testable evidence for existence of the soul? There are many interesting studies on near death experiences and Duke even has a journal devoted to the subject.

Perfectionism and writing: A book needn't be an author's life work; a squib of novel insight with supporting evidence is sufficient. If you are going to have something be your life's work, let it be a book of your life's wisdom. Some people have 300 page books devoted to trivial topics and blog posts devoted to their life's wisdom; that seems ironic to me.

The idea of free will is not necessarily incompatible with determinism. (More from Wikipedia.)

Our evolutionary purpose might not be to advance our species, but to be the medium through which DNA evolves. Related: The peculiarity of sneezing -- sneezes happen not because the body is trying to eject harmful fluid but because the germ is trying to spread.

Things I learned about relationships from a very good course on Academic Earth.

Laughter, religion, and sleep: The three most puzzling things to psychologists.

How would formal education compare to a placebo, if one could be given? That is, what if people were put in a classroom and given meaningless homework assignments and tests ... how would the outcomes differ from traditional education? My guess is less than people think.

I am fascinated by the controversy over the definition of life. I wonder, could life be defined as that which has DNA, or are there exceptions?

It shows my arrogance to think that I can predict the next big thing, but I predict it will be a company that successfully filters content not based on keyword searches like Google but that delivers content straight to you based on knowledge of your individual interests and preferences. Sort of like the Netflix recommendation system but for more than movies and based on a much richer data set.

Is productivity spiritually important as Marty Nemko suggests or just another form of hedonistic pleasure?

People should be paid for their attention on the internet. How can that be arranged?

Nov 22, 2009

I have a crush on Martha Stewart

I have a soft spot in my heart for perfectionists who have an unrelenting desire to be the best at whatever it is they do, and have no problem telling you that. If you ask these people why they do the things they do, they will look at you as if to say "well come on, why wouldn't I?" A lot of people confuse this for arrogance, but I think these people have such a clear view of their purpose that they see no reason feign modesty.

I did not realize Martha Stewart was such a shining example until I saw this Nightline segment on her: part 1: Martha Incorporated, part 2: A Day in the Life. (Also, the full text article and Martha's blog post on the visit.)

Nov 21, 2009

Home Makeover [tilt-shift time lapse]

Colorama - Makeover from Upper First.

Nov 20, 2009

Support for health care reform by age and income [maps]



A beautiful piece of work from Kim Bost. Infographics do not get any better than this, folks.

The written portion is an op-ed by Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver, and Daniel Lee in Wednesday's (11/18) NYT. (Gelman and Silver are the blogosphere's two most famous stat geeks.)

(Hat tip: Map Scroll)

The average flag

Weighted by population...



From Weather Sealed via Dustin.

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Related:
Flags by color [infographic]
Jason Salavon's amalgamations

Nov 19, 2009

Things I'd like to blog about (part I)

Everything I write on this blog starts with a line written in my notebook, but very few ever get written or published. Probably less than 10% of the ideas are typed up, and less than 5% actually published. For the idea to get published it must 1. hold my interest for at least a few days, and 2. I must be able to express thoughts in at least a moderately coherent fashion. The writings that meet these two criteria are the ones you see on this blog.

Below are some of the most recent ideas I had for blog posts. There is a lot more where this came from, so you can expect more posts like this in the future. If you have a blog, by all means please steal any of these ideas. (And if you don't have a blog, shame on you.) If there are any that you would particularly like me to elaborate upon, let me know. I won't promise to write a full post on any of these, but if there is enough interest, I will be more likely to do so.

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The mysteries of consciousness: How can gray goo have conscious experience? How does feeling come over the hump from neurons firing?

If Facebook and Twitter are the new TV, that means you should avoid them. (However, to everyone who knows me's disbelief, I am seriously considering resurrecting my Facebook account.)

A good question to ask anyone: "What don't you know, but wish you did?"

Since discovering how to play audio faster (I am typically playing podcasts at 1.7x speed), it seems my comprehension has actually improved. Why might this be, and how can I test it?

I want to get to the point that nothing I post on this blog feels like a risk. I think many bloggers do too much to try to please their audience. That is fine if you operate your blog like a business, but it means taking a very conservative (i.e., boring) approach to keep readers content.

The virtues of carrying a notebook everywhere (or as I call it, "notebooking"): I would rank it up there with self-tracking and blogging as worthwhile things to do.

Music is deeply personal and important to people, but at the same time it is incredibly boring to hear about other people's music preferences. Why is that?

How should advice be given: 1. plant the seed and then get the hell out of the way, or 2. plant the seed and keep watering until that sucker grows?

Why don't retail stores (particularly Wal-Mart) generate revenue by allowing companies to put advertisements around the store?

The deadweight loss of lawyers: Would we be better off if economic systems relied on reputation rather than formal rules?

Most problems are not problems of reality but problems of perception. Related: If you place a material value on health, love, and happiness, you will realize you are much wealthier than you ever imagined.

Computer screens now easily competing with television screens [infographic]



Times Labs Blog: Are computers outmaneuvering TVs in the living room?

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Earlier: Is TV a necessity or a luxury?

Nov 18, 2009

Alert me if it's urgent, don't if it's not

There is one advance in messaging that would be painfully simple, and I am dying to have, yet which no one seems to be offering. The problem is one of prioritizing and urgency: People don't want to be bothered and people don't want to bother each other. I want to be notified of a new message if it's urgent but don't if it's not. The problem is that there is currently no effective way to distinguish urgent messages from non-urgent ones.

How it would work

It's simple: Before someone sends a message (email, text message, phone call, whatever), they have the option to mark the message as urgent. A message sent as urgent would arrive in the receiver's inbox with all the usual attention grabbing screen flashes, vibrations, beeping noises, and color-changing icons. But if the sender did not opt-in to the urgent option, the message would slip silently into the receiver's inbox, awaiting a convenient time for the receiver to open it.

It could even go a step further by having senders select how soon the message should be read and the message would then get filed into the appropriate folder, but I am all for simplicity, and an urgent opt-in button seems simple enough to me.

Why current methods don't work

Up until now, the solution (if you can call it that) offered by most email services has been the exclamation point. That works fine to distinguish important from unimportant messages, but completely fails the urgency test because messages arrive with all the same attention grabbing stimuli whether or not it has an exclamation point.

People have tried workarounds like putting "URGENT:" in the subject line, or calling multiple times in a row. And people have tried avoiding distractions by shutting down their email or turning off their phones, but this leaves us vulnerable to missing truly urgent messages. Why should people have to settle for these imperfect alternatives when a much simpler and more effective method could be used?

Why does this not already exist?

My theory is that since messaging technology started out slowly without many users, there was no need to separate urgent from non-urgent messages since people never had the problem of being inundated with distracting messages. In the beginning, AOL's You've Got Mail was a sound welcomed with excitement and anticipation; customers enjoyed having all the stimuli that notified them of new messages, and messaging services were more than happy to provide them. But flash forward to 2009 and people are busier and more distracted than ever, and the number of messaging services has swelled to the point that cooperation between them has become difficult.

So are we doomed to a life of distracting messages? I doubt it, and in fact I predict this change will come within the next couple of years. As soon as Gmail or Yahoo! or another popular messaging service picks up this feature and people like it, it will spread like a virus.

...At least I hope so.

Best performing cities list

I confess, I am sucker for things like this: The Milken Institute's 2009 Best Performing Cities

Austin-Round Rock, TX takes the prize.

Apparently, I live in the East Coast's top-performing metro area. That is especially surprising considering that Durham almost always falls short of Raleigh on these lists.

Texas, for some reason, claims 4 out of the top 5 spots in both the large and small metro area lists.

Nov 17, 2009

The incredible shrinking drop of water [video]



(Hat tip: Kottke)

Warren Buffett's investment history [infographic]



FST 11/4/09: Warren Buffet investments: businessman extraordinaire

(Hat tip: WeLoveDatavis)

Nov 16, 2009

Analyzing my sleep the past year


Hours of sleep each day since last November. (Where there are no lines in the chart, it is a missing observation, not zero hours of sleep.)

During these 343 days, I slept a total of 2,612 hours, or 7 hours and 37 minutes a day. On days when I slept over 10 hours, it is probably thanks to a lengthy nap.

I was curious how hours of sleep affects my outcomes of interest, and it turns out it does not at all. A really interesting and surprising finding is that even with wakefulness, there is nearly zero correlation. I do not interpret this to mean that I can get as much or as little sleep as I want and feel equally awake and alert the next day, but that if I sleep a reasonable amount (as I do nearly every night) then it really makes no difference.

...On the other hand, maybe there really is something to polyphasic sleep.



So if how much I sleep has no effect on my wakefulness, then I ought to be able to sleep less and be more productive, right? Apparently not. The very subjective rating "Growth" asks me to combine the quantity and quality of all the things I learned and experienced today into a 1 to 10 measure of how much I "grew". Again, zero correlation with hours of sleep. This is really surprising and a little discouraging. How could it be that the number of hours I am awake is uncorrelated with how productive I am? Something stinks, but I am not sure what.

It seems unsatisfying and counterintuitive to suggest that the amount of sleep I get makes no difference; sleep is central to human existence, so it must have a meaningful effect on something. All I can say is that, of the outcomes I would expect it to influence, no effect shows up in the data. Probably things would be different if I forced myself to sleep much less than my body wanted to, but when getting an amount of sleep close to what the body wants, differences in amount of sleep do not seem to matter. What this means practically about how I should live my life (or you yours), I've no idea.

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Earlier:
Analyzing my weight
The evolution of tracking myself

Choice: Not so bad after all

Tim Harford writing in Financial Times 11/13: Given the choice, how much choice would you like?

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A quote from one of my all-time favorite Newmarks's Door posts:

I make now a standing offer: any individual who feels too burdened by all his or her choices can give them to me. I'll take them off your hands, free of charge. You're welcome.

Train less, run faster

ScienceDaily 11/15:

In a recent scientific study just published in the Journal of Applied Physiology, Bangsbo and co-workers demonstrate that by reducing the volume of training by 25% and introducing the so-called speed endurance training (6-12 30-s sprint runs 3-4 times a week), endurance trained runners can improve not only short-term but also long-term performance.

This sounds suspiciously similar to interval training.

Nov 15, 2009

Sunday morning at the Wehr abode





Nov 14, 2009

Building a brain in a supercomputer [TED talk]

A talk released last month (14:51):

Henry Markram says the mysteries of the mind can be solved -- soon. Mental illness, memory, perception: they're made of neurons and electric signals, and he plans to find them with a supercomputer that models all the brain's 100,000,000,000,000 synapses.

Watch around the 12:25 mark for an incredible simulation.

Nov 13, 2009

True happiness: a venn diagram



(Hat tip: DataViz)

Nov 12, 2009

How you think affects how you feel (part II)

. . . So says an article in Scientific American called Rapid Thinking Makes People Happy. It is a poor choice of title because, as the article goes on to discuss, it is actually varied thinking that makes people happy.



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This is re-posted from February, but no one read this blog then so I trust you will forgive me. The ugly table is my doing -- you won't find this anywhere else on the web -- yet it is one of the most important things I learned all year and I come back to this principle all the time.

Many people attempt to suppress or ignore their repetitive thoughts, or talk themselves out of it, but there is a much simpler solution: introduce new thoughts. If I find myself stuck on a thought, I have a few go-to thoughts I introduce: starting a tool library in Durham, reflecting on the last podcast I listened to, or pondering some Buckminster Fuller quotes. It can be whatever works for you so long as it is layered enough to maintain your attention and give rise to varied thoughts.

Counting money across cultures [video]



(Hat tip: Marginal Revolution)

Nov 11, 2009

The evolution of tracking myself

Much has changed in the way I track myself since I started self-tracking in September '08. The basic way in which I collect and enter data has remained mostly the same, and you can read about that in a previous post. But the evolution in my style of and purpose for self-tracking has gone something like this...

The bright-eyed rookie

As with most important life changes, I made the decision not because I had the benefits figured out or the purpose understood, but because it seemed like a neat thing to do. I was curious about self-tracking from work Nicholas Felton and others have done. Plus, it would mean combining two of my favorite things: 1. Me, and 2. a big juicy data set.

Because of my rookieishness, I started with some variables that seemed obvious and interesting and kept adding more and more because what's a few extra seconds, I thought.

Overly ambitious

At peak I was entering 44 quantitative variables a night. I thought I could find hidden truths in anything if I just had the data and the proper controls. I became so in love with the idea of tracking that -- I kid you not -- I started collecting data related to how quickly my dog goes to the bathroom. I have the spreadsheets to prove it. (By the way, I learned that he goes quicker when it is raining and dark. Mindblowing, right?)

Eventually it became cumbersome -- time-intensive to some extent but mostly mentally taxing at a time of day when I least want to be mentally taxed. Can you imagine being ready to go to bed and trying to decide your level of irritable --> serene knowing that you have 42 variables left to go?

Settling in

After many iterations, I think I am now at a place where I am finally comfortable and satisfied with what I am measuring. If I have a specific hypothesis I want to test, I can collect data on that for awhile, but my main purpose in self-tracking is to collect those variables which 1. matter to me, 2. could reasonably be considered important mediators or moderators to those outcomes that matter to me, or 3. I am just curious as to how that variable changes over time.

The 16 variables I currently use are below. The first five are the outcomes I care most about.

Growth
Self-regulation
Big picture perspective
Satisfaction
Productive hours
Mood
Food quantity
Food quality
Dog's behavior
Hours with girlfriend
Girlfriend enjoyment
Wakeful/energy
Hours sleep last night
Nap hours yesterday
Time out of bed
Quality aerobic minutes

Analysis is low priority for me. I am not trying to discover hidden truths; I am trying to become a better person. By tracking the things I care about, I naturally place more focus on them and, as a result, get better. More importantly, I reflect on what is important every single day.

I have found that the qualitative information is just as important as quantitative ratings, if not more so. In the qualitative worksheet I enter some thing(s) I am grateful for, optionally the high point of my day or what's in the news or what I intend to change in my life, and what started out being called "event log" but what has become just a paragraph diary entry for the day. What I find so valuable about the qualitative data is that it gives me opportunity to reflect and be thankful, and provides a searchable database of my life's events.

I am also attracted to the idea of my family and friends having access to the data after I am gone. Not that anyone would care to dig through all the data, but just having it there seems worthwhile. Some people go to extraordinary lengths to be immortalized through their work, but any work of art is just a tiny peek at the artist. Self-tracking data, on the other hand, provides a much deeper and more complete picture of your life.

To give you a sense of how much I value these data, I would rather lose my car or laptop than lose my self-tracking data. And consider that the physical data is only part of the value of self-tracking. If that is not reason enough to convince you to at least experiment with self-tracking, I don't know what is.

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Analysis of self-tracking data:
Sleep
Weight
Exercise
and more to come soon...

All posts related to self-tracking.

Alabama Veterans Memorial



Alabama Veterans Memorial, Birmingham, AL, by Giattina Aycock Architecture Studio.

[Hat tip: A Daily Dose of Architecture]

Nov 10, 2009

Attention advertisers: I will one-up this guy

Some goofball makes $85,000/yr selling advertising space on his torso.

iwearyourshirt.com:

In this up and down economy I’m outsourcing my wardrobe (namely shirts) to corporate america and you! I’m going to wear a different shirt for 365 days straight in 2009, take multiple pictures throughout my day and blog about it. Days are sold at “face value” so January 1 is $1 and December 31 is $365.

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Dearest advertisers,

Do you really want your precious brand name to adorn the torso of some guy who cannot even hold a job? If not, have I got a deal for you...

For a lower price, you have the opportunity to place your logo on an employed male's torso, or face, or legs, or feet, or behind, or forehead, or car, or puppy. Your logo will be viewed countless times each day by employed people, ones with jobs and money.

Not only that but photos and videos of me [or puppy] sporting the logo will be posted to one of the web's hottest blogs: this one. (Don't laugh.) For a small fee, I will post a picture of me licking your logo.

Serious inquiries only: justin@iwilloneupiwearyourshirt.com.

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Questions about this goofball's business:

-What is with the pricing scheme? Is this ever an efficient way to price a product?
-Is wearing a different shirt every day more profitable than wearing the same shirt with square inches of the shirt auctioned off?
-Why limit it to shirts?
-Why would anyone read this guy's blog except out of curiosity and contempt as to how it makes money?
-Why don't more people do this, especially famous or powerful people?

Unemployment in perspective [infographic]



A nice (but not their best) display from the New York Times. (Hat tip: FlowingData)

The differences appear to be driven primarily by education level.

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Earlier:



Other WitW posts related to unemployment

Some of the best infographics are about unemployment, which is unfortunate because I think it is a weak statistic.

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Also, Greg Mankiw's unemployment update has this fascinating (and discouraging) chart:

Nov 9, 2009

"The Bible for a Digital World"



PSFK 10/15:

A user-friendly interface provides easy access to any section or topic, and the program is filled with virtual tours, video, maps and artwork to bring the story to life. Glo runs on Windows only at this point (using up a whopping 18 gigs of disk space), and needs to be connected to the internet to work.

It is currently going for $50 on Amazon.

Glo interests me for two reasons:

First, from a purely business perspective, I can see interactive platforms like this becoming common (although hopefully less computer intensive) for all books. You can imagine shuffling through topic clouds on your Kindle, or analyzing reading progress, etc. The difference, I think, will be that the exploratory stuff will be user-generated, and probably even the platform it sits on will be open source. Although I look forward to a more interactive reading experience, I do not share these guys' belief (Thanks, John) that the hard copy will become a thing of the past -- at least not anytime soon and at least not fiction.

Secondly, how can they be sufficiently generic to please most Christians? Their target audience is likely to have strong opinions on interpretation, relevant details, etc. Yet, they have notes for each section and videos acting out the stories. It seems people -- including church authorities -- would find things to get pissy about, and I wonder how that will affect their bottom line.

30% of Americans support fat tax

Under the Dome:

The Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of 1,000 adults nationwide conducted Oct. 11-12 found that 63 percent opposed North Carolina's plan to charge overweight employees more for the state employee's health plan. The survey found 30 percent supported the plan and 7 percent were unsure.

Change the question to "are you in favor of subsidizing healthy employees" and I guarantee you get much different results.

Nov 6, 2009

Book of Odds

It is not a book but a web site: bookofodds.com

Book of Odds is the world’s first reference on the odds of everyday life.

For over three years we have been building what we believe is the missing dictionary, one filled not with words, but with numbers – the odds of everyday life. It contains hundreds of thousands of Odds Statements, from the odds of being the only one to survive a plane crash, to the odds of having a heart attack, to the odds of having ever eaten cold pizza for breakfast. Book of Odds not only allows you to search for those odds that concern or interest you the most, but also to understand probability by comparing the odds of unfamiliar events to others you have personally experienced. Book of Odds was built for you, and we hope you’ll enjoy it.

Marketplace talks to the founder 10/14.

Fuel from algae is coming

Popular Mechanics 10/13: Five companies making fuel from algae now

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Earlier: Algae-powered cars

Nov 5, 2009

The person I would least like to debate

Richard Epstein. The man is the most flawless, free-flowing speaker I have ever heard. Just when you think he is finished with a sentence, he adds another clause, and then another until there are too many clauses and points to attempt to counter. Not only that but he latches on to opponents' statements verbatim and mercilessly rips them apart until they are as good as dead, and then keeps beating. It is frightening, really. I cannot help but to giggle with excitement when I hear him, but underneath all that excitement is unadulterated fear.

Exhibit A: Epstein vs. Judy Ferer on Health Care. (Watch as the moderator hilariously tries to interject at the 26 minute mark.)

Exhibit B: Epstein vs. Cass Sunstein on Obama (03/08).

One thing I realize from listening to Epstein is that what makes a debater effective is not a collection of facts nor even good points, but speaking style and verb use/word choice. That is why I do not trust debates to reveal which side is right or "righter". But I do find them nonetheless a hoot.

Atlanta's mapathon

BBC News 10/14:

OpenStreetMap, or OSM, is behind the effort to produce a map more accurate than anything else on the market.

The Atlanta mapathon will take place this weekend, with around 200 volunteers armed with global positioning devices mapping the city.

"The way to think about it is as a really big mapping party," said OSM founder Steve Coast.

"We will have about 15-20 mapping stations throughout Atlanta and start by noting all the freeways and motorways, then the main roads, smaller roads and eventually go right down to the footpaths, bars and restaurants."

It needs some work, but the site is here: OpenStreetMap.org. I love the idea and I am delighted this is extending away from Atlanta and into one big crowdsourced interactive map. It will give Google Earth some competition at least.

Nov 4, 2009

Storms in the Atlantic [video]



Via Map Scroll

In case you did not follow that at home, here is a map...

Top 21 of my 703 feeds

As I discussed in a previous post, I subscribe to 703 feeds in Google Reader, but only a select few have earned my trust as consistently interesting and deserving of my "always" folder, meaning I read (or at least look at) every post. Below are those feeds, ordered by post frequency, highest to lowest.

Kottke - site - feed
Newmark's Door - site - feed
Ben Casnocha - site - feed
Scott Adams - site - feed
Bottlenecked - site - feed
The Frontal Cortex - site - feed
Charlie Rose - site - feed
The State of Things - site - feed
TED Talks - site - feed
Bluematter. - site - feed
Amy Stein - site - feed
Reason Power Policy - site - feed
Ben Fry - site - feed
F.Y.I. - site - feed
Motley Fool Conversations - site - feed
The Quantified Self - site - feed
The Alternate Blog - site - feed
Tim's Data Blog - site - feed
Illini? Or Huskie? ...Illini! - site - feed
Nano GigaPan - site - feed
No Promise of Safety - site - feed

The feeds in this folder are not static. Some of the feeds are recent additions, and others have dropped out.

I notice that most of the blogs on the list post infrequently. Only the top two post more than once a day, and the bottom six post less than once a week. There is something to be said for limiting post quantity in order to maintain high quality.

The top two blogs -- Kottke and Newmark's Door -- are impressive in their ability to find and point to interesting things on the web. The next two -- Ben Casnocha and Scott Adams -- are rare bloggers who are able to churn out an interesting, original post every day. I aspire to be a mixture of these two styles, but I have a long way to go before I match them in quality.

Hire ugly people

Marty Nemko explains: (Hat tip: the Door)

All other things being equal, I'd give the nod to an ugly candidate. It’s not charity: They have less value in the marketplace and can be hired less expensively, even though looks have, for most jobs, little or no bearing on job performance. I've found that, on average, ugly people are more likely to be kind and to work harder because they know they're working at a disadvantage. And unattractive people are more likely to stay with me because they tend to have a tough time getting hired, in part because they generally don’t network efficiently. If I treat unattractive employees well, they’re usually very loyal.

You could make a similar argument for short people. If there are labor market inefficiencies with respect to attractiveness and height, why should we think they do not also exist with age, gender, intelligence, race, etc.?

Nov 3, 2009

In praise of forgetting

New Scientist 10/24: Memory and Forgetting in the Digital Age

For the human condition, forgetting is at least as important as remembering - sometimes more so. Without it, we are all bound to lead the miserable life of A. R. Luria's patient Solomon Shereshevsky, who was crippled by his boundless, indelible memory, or his fictional counterpart, Jorge Luis Borges's Funes. No forgetting implies no generalisation, no real present time, no amelioration of trauma, and no weaving of meaningful life narratives.

Name that blogger



The year was 1988.

Bad hair? Check. Cold sore? Check. Homemade tie-dye shirt? Check. Arrested at a protest over a grove of trees being turned into a parking lot? You bet your ass, check.

A few years later, Pee Wee would be photographed in the same room.

If you do not already know, click the image to find out.

Alternative to discrimination laws: Subsidize mixed marriages

A fascinating idea from Harrison Brookie.

Presumably, the more diversity within families, the less discrimination there would be, so why not subsidize mixed marriages?

Nov 2, 2009

Analyzing my weight the past year+

Two ways of looking at the same data...



All measurements are from the same scale. The colors represent the time of day the measurement was taken -- morning (yellow), afternoon/evening (green), night (blue). N = 374 (119 morning, 102 afternoon, 153 night).

There are so many stories in these data I do not know where to begin.

Your first reaction is probably "what's with the big jump?" It turns out to have a simple explanation:


JW fails to resist gourmet reindeer in Anchorage, AK -- August '09

I have never been overweight -- in fact, I have been borderline scrawny since toddlerhood -- but I was surprised to see how much my weight fluctuated the past year: My low was 133.5 on March 11, and my high was 151 on August 28 -- a 17.5 pound difference without any real attempt to gain or lose weight! However, this year was probably unusual for a couple of reasons...

The change in diet

I made a considerable change in my diet around the time I started tracking my weight (and other things). This change in diet undoubtedly led to the gradual decline in weight until mid April. It was this presentation by Walter Willett that that opened my eyes and got me thinking about what I was eating. I did a lot of research, and although I have come to realize there is as much disagreement between nutritionists as there is between economists (if not more), for health and to a lesser extent moral reasons, I have decided to live by the motto "eat more plants, less animals." At home, I am strictly a vegan with the exception of fermented foods or probiotics. I estimate that in an average day, about 700 of my calories come from peanuts and raisins. Besides that, my diet consists of a lot of bread and olive oil, bananas, smoothies, and whatever my darling makes. I eat out a few times a month, and will eat meat and dairy within reason.

The Indian Buffet

Then, on April 15, my birthday happened. I had my birthday lunch at Green Leaf, a new Indian restaurant in Durham. The food was amazing. I am no stranger to Indian buffets, and I do not remember eating that much more than I usually do, but the data show a jump occurring right around that exact day. (In reality, it was probably the Indian buffet combined with the other delicious food I helped myself to that day.) But that was definitely a turning point -- from there, although I kept my same diet, the weight steadily crept back up to the set point.

Alaska and Seattle trip -- 8/7 to 8/19

Free breakfasts, reimbursed lunches, amazing dinners, and the best vegetarian buffet I have ever experienced -- can you blame a guy? I knew I had eaten a lot, but I was surprised to learn that it was 7 extra pounds, especially with all the hiking we did.

---

Other notes:
-Any time there is a gap in the data (easier to see in the bar chart), I was traveling.
-It is interesting to see the change in the frequency of measurements. I tend to get disinterested and take fewer measurements over time, but then I realize my weight is changing and start measuring at a higher frequency again.
-Night measurements, on average, are about a pound heavier than morning measurements.

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I recently started analyzing my other self-tracking data, and if I am not too lazy, should have a summary post before long.

Flies carrying advertisements [video]



Hat tip: Kottke

Nov 1, 2009

Action shots from my backyard