Olympic medal predictions

In case you are keeping track at home, US athletes have already -- less than half way through -- won more gold medals (6) than the allegedly supremely accurate economist's model predicted (5).

Meanwhile, Canada, 11 medals behind, has some catching up to do.

Prediction markets now give the US a 60% chance of winning the most golds:



And poor Poland is dueling it out with the Czech Republic to avoid having the most last place finishes.