Feb 26, 2011

Political Apathy Quantified

Last week I asked people to say how much they would be willing to pay for various privileges. Here are the results:



Note well that the probability of this being a representative sample is about nilch. For some reason, this blog (or this survey) has attracted an unusual bunch of politicos. Out of the 12 that responded, only 2 consider themselves either liberal or conservative.

Raw data here.

Feb 23, 2011

The danger of focus

Jonah Lehrer writes in The WSJ that by focusing too much on focus, we might be suppressing the virtues of distraction:

The inability to focus helps ensure a richer mixture of thoughts in consciousness. Because these people struggled to filter the world, they ended up letting everything in. They couldn’t help but be open-minded.

Such lapses in attention turn out to be a crucial creative skill. When we’re faced with a difficult problem, the most obvious solution—that first idea we focus on—is probably wrong. At such moments, it often helps to consider far-fetched possibilities, to approach the task from an unconventional perspective. And this is why distraction is helpful: People unable to focus are more likely to consider information that might seem irrelevant but will later inspire the breakthrough. When we don’t know where to look, we need to look everywhere.

I believe it because, in my mind, the essence of creativity is ideas having sex. But I would not want to take this Rah Rah Distraction reasoning too far.

While adding randomish unexpected information to one person's brain will likely make him or her more creative, I am not sure it would be any better than having two people focus on the subject matters that interest them and having them combine their different perspectives to find solutions to a problem. My point is that the randomish unexpected information could just as easily come from someone else, and that is why the most creative solutions are typically collaborative rather than solo.

Feb 20, 2011

Reasoning with your fear

In A Brief History of Anxiety, Patricia Pearson shares her cousin's approach to dealing with his fear of his basement:

Even though I still get those old pangs of dread as I approach the dark basement, complete with its creaky door, they are something I can overcome with a little internal discourse that resolves itself before I reach out for the doorknob. It's an ongoing grudge match between rationality and neurosis.

One such dialogue might start with the simple argument that a door that creaks contains no more evil than a nice quiet one. This logic, I rebut, simply eliminates creakiness as a criteria for evil in a basement door and only results in a fear of all basement doors regardless of their creakiness—an uppercut to the chin of rationality.

Pulling itself off the mat after that blow and with time running out, rationality counters with a sucker punch of its own. Eschewing logic for sheer impact it goes for the old "Don’t be such a baby!" approach. TKO for rationality. The preposterousness of a grown man being afraid of his own basement is a compelling thing.

###

Soon there may be a more effective way of "conquering" our fears. A study in Nature from last January found that by conducting extinction training at a certain time (when our memories are going through a process called reconsolidation), fearful responses are erased completely. More details in this ~5 minute video.

Feb 19, 2011

How much do you really care about politics?

Will post the results next week.

Feb 17, 2011

The logic of lying

Xan, who many of you know through the comments on this blog, has to my great delight started blogging regularly over at Economonomics.

He just started a series of three posts on lying that will dispute -- in Xan's characteristically logical way -- the belief that it is never justified to tell a lie. Here's part 1, and here's the outline of the series:

1. There is a difference between speaking the truth and communicating the truth.
2. Lying is often necessary to keep one's private information private (which I feel is generally my right).
3. People don't necessarily want the truth (or the truth might not be in their interest, whether or not they are aware of it).

Here's a money quote:

A rule like "Never tell a lie" seems attractive because it's unambiguous and easy to follow. But in my experience, unambiguous and easy-to-follow rules tend to fall apart as soon as you ask, "Wait, what should I really care about?" Reality is generally far too multidimensional and messy to admit such a cut-and-dry rule. Once we recognize that communication is what matters, we are forced to acknowledge that the corresponding rule, "Never communicate a falsity," is not followable! There are tradeoffs.

Feb 16, 2011

Not good enough

You'll never believe the [alleged] reasons I was just turned down from a job:

(1) not enough sports knowledge.
(2) don't write enough like a robot.

I wish I was joking.

StatSheet is the local start-up that turned me down. They automate sports journalism.

It seems like a great group of guys and I wish them the best of luck, though I don't think they'll need it.

Quantifying Trust

I'd heard of the ultimatum game many times before, and even its variant the dictator game was not unfamiliar to me, but how could I have missed the game that seems the most interesting of them all: The "Trust Game"?

In this experiment, we paired two people and assigned them the roles of player 1 and player 2. We gave player 1 $10 and asked her to chose how much money to give to player 2. We also told both players that each dollar sent to player 2 would be tripled. For example, if player 1 gave away all $10, then player 2 would receive $30. Player 2 was then asked to choose how much money to send back to player 1 (but this time it was not tripled). So if player 2 received $30 and wanted to split it fifty-fifty, then he could send back $15 to player 1 and keep $15 for himself. Player 1 would earn an extra $5 as a result.

This game is called the trust game because the first player's decision indicates how much she trusts the second player to return some of the money she is giving away. By the same token, the second player's decision indicates how "trustworthy" he is.

That's from Nicholas Christakis and James Fowler's Connected. Frustratingly, they don't say what typically happens when this game is played. They do say, however, on the basis of studies with twins, that "genes significantly influenced both trust and trustworthy behavior" and "what this means is that cooperation, altruism, punishment, and free-riding are written into our DNA".

I did some Googling and found the results of a double-blind trust game:

On average, player 1 sent over $5 and roughly one third of the time player 2 reciprocated by sending back more than was originally sent even though the double-blind condition implied no one would know what player 2 really did.

I think it would be absolutely fascinating to see what happens if you played this game at work or with friends or family... but then again, I'm geeky like that.

Feb 14, 2011

Poop as Art (and Science): Cloaca, The Pooping Machine


Cloaca is the name given to a special series of machines that have recreated our flesh-and-blood processes of chewing, digesting, and excreting using the exact same materials of peptin, creatine, symbiotic bacteria and the like. The latest edition weighs a few thousand pounds.

Believe it or not, there are people who will pay $1,000 for a vacuum-sealed piece of Cloaca's poop accompanied by a certificate of authenticity describing what the machine "ate" to create it. There is a lot of text devoted to the project in Dave Praeger's Poop Culture, but I think this passage sums it up beautifully:

Cloaca demonstrates that in modern art, cachet overshadows aesthetics.

One can believe that Cloaca lowers art, or one can believe that Cloaca elevates poop. Behold the machine: huge complex, unfathomable, with advanced computers required to monitor complicated chemical processes beyond the comprehension of the museum-goer watching the turtlehead emerge -- all this to recreate what happens in our gastrointestinal tract! How wonderfully mysterious and intricate is the human body! How remarkable that a process requiring so much equipment and electrical power and money and real estate happens so effortlessly inside our abdomens in an area the size of a basketball! Cloaca has pushed art, technology, and biology to their extreme, but the human body easily outpoops it.

So why shouldn't poop be in the museum? Art celebrates and criticizes humanity, after all, and what are humans but six-foot-tall pooping machines? Is anything more relevant to the human condition than the poop we all experience? Is anything a better representative of the species?

I apologize that the video below is so obnoxious, but it was the only one I was able to find on the subject.



More logos plus images of the various machines are on the artist's website.

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Sadly, this is the last post I had lined up in the Poop Mondays series. Hope you enjoyed and were not completely disgusted.

Feb 13, 2011

Friends of Friends

Once you understand the logic of how other people affect us, say Nicholas Christakis and James Fowler, authors of Connected, then you understand that if you hope to change yourself, you better try to change not just your friends, but your friends' friends, too:

At both the individual and the population levels, it is more effective for you to lose weight with friends of friends than with friends. The problem is this: If you attempt to lose weight with your friends, you might succeed, but this tiny cluster of you and your friends is surrounded by a large group of people exerting pressure to gain weight again. In all likelihood, both you and your friends will thus regain weight.

The authors go onto suggest that a good strategy to lose weight, therefore, would be to create a running club of friends-of-friends, thereby creating a buffer of healthy people around you.

Feb 10, 2011

Announcing a Book of Squibs, sort of

You heard right: I am in the process of creating a "book". If you keep reading you'll understand why the quotation marks are deserved.

The content will be a lot like my squibs posts, but more carefully selected, better organized, and more polished. Essentially it will be a digest of the best ideas I've encountered. I expect to print the "books" in April, and I estimate that they will be about 10,000 words short -- enough to fit on 30ish 8.5 x 11 pages.

My plan is to give them away on a pay-as-you-wish basis. And if enough people find it beneficial, I intend to do this quarterly.

For the physical appearance and design, I am using Nick Felton's annual reports and Leonard Koren's books for inspiration. There is a possibility I will hire a designer, but I will probably end up doing everything but the printing myself.


Why am I doing this? First and foremost, I like to share ideas, and I like to feel that I am doing something useful. I like the thought of having enduring physical representations of the best ideas I've encountered—of my great grandkids possessing written collections of the best things their great grandfather knew. Also, with pay-as-you-wish, I will get very interesting feedback on how valuable (or not) people find this stuff.

And it will be relatively easy for me to do. It is already part of my normal routine to meticulously record ideas in my notebook and type them up in what has become a ginormous, pseudo-organized text file. It's just a matter of selecting the ones I find best, organizing them, and forking over some ca$h for the printing costs.

You could really help me out by giving me an accurate estimate of how many copies you think you will order and/or how many friends you think you will tell. This will help me estimate how many copies I should print. Please respond using the form below.

Purpose = Benefits to Others?

In this month's Sunday Telegraph column, Dan Pink extrapolates from research to suggest that what's missing in business is an emphasis on Why -- that is, an emphasis on the purpose of the organization. He proposes that if you ask employees to write down what they think is the purpose of the organization, and remind them of it regularly, that people will perform with enormous productivity gains.

I think that's an interesting hypothesis, and it may well be true, but the research he cites reports on something more specific. The research suggests that when people are primed to think about how their actions will benefit others, their productivity more than doubles. Equally fascinating, I think, is that when people are primed to think about how their actions will benefit themselves, they do no better than the control group.

I know I should accept reality as is and not hope for it to bend to my absurd expectations, but this research really gives me a good feeling.

I'm going to have to keep thinking about this. The implications seem Big.

---

If these ideas are true, it would be the second time that Dan Pink has given me serious doubts about the practical usefulness of economic theory. Here's the first.

Feb 8, 2011

What laws wrongfully assume

A slightly re-worked passage from Shankar Vedantam's The Hidden Brain:

Many of our social institutions -- and laws in particular -- implicitly assume that human actions are largely the product of conscious knowledge and intention, willpower and education.

It turns out that the most important aspect of being a law-abiding citizen is the ability to understand social rules. We don't avoid shoplifting merely because we consciously know it is wrong, or because it is against the law. Most of us don't shoplift because our unconscious brain tells us it is a violation of rules of social interaction. It is the fear of social opprobrium -- the contempt of store clerks and security officials and fellow customers if we should get caught, or the shame that would befall us if our friends and colleagues learned about our actions -- that keeps people honest, not all the laws in the world.

It doesn't feel that way, of course. It is only when we see patients with a disorder such as frontotemporal dementia that we realize that most of us can claim very little credit for our conscious notion of morality. Patients with frontotemporal dementia don't stop being able to tell right from wrong; they simply stop caring about shame and social opprobrium.

One study of sixteen patients with frontotemporal dementia found that among them, the group was guilty of "unsolicited sexual approach or touching," hit-and-run accidents, physical assaults, shoplifting, public urination, breaking into other people's homes, and even one case of pedophilia. The patients readily acknowledged their actions were wrong -- but showed no remorse. They knew they were breaking the law, but it didn't matter to them.

It seems obvious when you think about it, but it was really important for me to hear that our unconscious and conscious systems learn pretty much independently from one another:

We have two systems of learning within our heads that develop more or less independently, and we pay almost no attention to one of them. Our society resolutely believes the conscious mind is all that matters, and so all our educational and legal efforts focus on it. We have schools with multicultural messages and rainbow flags. We have organizational experts who preach the importance of sensitivity and understanding. We have laws to punish hate crimes. Many of our interventions are based on the belief that prejudice involves conscious intention or hostility, that it is largely the result of ignorance, and that education is the best way to overcome it.

As you can see from Frances Aboud's work, each of these beliefs is wrong in a fundamental way. The children were not being taught by their teachers that whites were superior to blacks; all the efforts at the school were trying to communicate tolerance, not prejudice. Separate from what the children were learning consciously, however, they were unconsciously learning something else altogether.

Feb 7, 2011

Poop as Art: Ninety cans of shit



A project for the ages:

In May 1961, Italian artist Piero Manzoni exhibited ninety cans of his poop in an art gallery in Albisola, Italy. This wasn't shit, it was art. Each can comprising Merda d'Artista ("Artist's Shit") was signed, numbered, and wrapped in a label like a can of tuna. On the label, printed in four languages, was: "Artist's Shit / Contents 30 grams net / Freshly preserved / Produced and tinned / in May 1961." Each can was on sale during its exhibition, priced by weight based on the current price of gold. From that base price (around $1.12 a gram in 1960) the value shot up; forty-one years later, the Tate Modern in London paid $34,100 to acquire Merda can #004. For what may be poop's first explicit manifestation in the history of art, this worked out to around $1,137 a gram -- an appreciation rate well above inflation.

[Quotes, as usual, are from Dave Praeger's Poop Culture. This is the 7th post in the Poop Mondays series.]

This was the same artist who did socle du monde ("base of the world") in which he turned a pedestal upside down and presented it as bearing the weight of the world. Sadly, he died at the age of 29, only two years after the poop project.

Why it feels strange to call this "art":

Mera pits the productions society values most -- art -- against those it values least. An artist's product, society teaches us, represents truth, beauty, and technical mastery. Art is the artist's contribution to humanity's soul. Poop, on the other hand, is the one thing we're all capable of creating with equal skill; neither Duchamp nor Manzoni have any more aesthetic control over the sphincter than you or I. To claim his poop was unique simply because he was an artist was an a fortiori argument that pushed conceptual art to its absurd extreme.

An unfortunate but hilarious side-effect of this particular project:

Forty-five of the original ninety tins have reportedly exploded, spraying artist's shit (and the bacteria and gases that had been fermenting in it) all over the collectors' galleries.

Other than exploding tins, I love the idea of this project. It is fascinating (to me) to think about the different market values of poop depending on context. The same person who paid thousands of dollars for Manzoni's poop would probably pay hundreds of dollars to avoid the experience of seeing, smelling, or God-forbid stepping in a stranger's poop.

Here is a fascinating question: What person, in what context, would have the highest-valued poop?

I'd bet that a Buzz Aldrin turd released in space would demand a pretty penny. Not sure if it would go higher than a Marilyn Monroe turd.

You heard it here first: If I ever become famous enough to have poop with a positive market value (come to think of it, that is a good measure of fame, isn't it?), I will sell it. In fact, I wouldn't mind being remembered as the guy who sold more of his poop than any other human in history. I am only half-joking.

This last quote is unrelated to the ninety can project, but it is my favorite quote from the Poop In Art chapter. Can you guess the famous artist who said it?

The excrementitious palette enjoys infinite variety, from gray to green and from ochers to browns.

Twas the mustachioed man, Salvador Dali.

Economists, without knowing it, are in the business of creating (un)poetic metaphors

I have been following James Geary's aphorisms blog since seeing his TED Talk on metaphors, which has become one of my favorites.

His latest post is about metaphors in economics, and it includes these two lovely quotes:

Perhaps it's the economists who can learn the most from poets about precision and efficiency, about objectivity and maximization—the virtues, in other words, of value-free science.

The most important example of economic rhetoric is metaphor. Economists call them "models". To say that markets can be represented by supply and demand "curves" is no less a metaphor than to say that the west wind is "the breath of autumn's being."

The former comes from Stephen Ziliak's short essay Money, metaphor, and the invisible hand, and the latter comes from Deirdre McCloskey's The Rhetoric of Economics.

Feb 6, 2011

Average faces of women across the world



I have little doubt that this will soon be on every blog in existence, but it's so worth it. How incredibly interesting.

(I have not yet been able to figure out where this lovely work originates -- I found it via Reddit, which contains no obvious links.)

As psychologists have long known, average faces are hot. But I'd say there are two notable exceptions from this sample: Miss Hungaria and Miss Somoa.

Doesn't Miss Somoa kind of look like Chief from One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest?


(I am so cruel. ...Or am I? Miss Somoa only exists as an image – so how does that work, morally speaking?)

For more on why average faces are beautiful, check out this whopper of a quote from a 2008 ScienceDaily article:

Beauty can be quantified by mathematical measurements and ratios. It can be defined as average distances between features.

... So much for that "in the eye of the beholder" thing. But as Anna points out in the comments, beautiful is not the same as interesting—in fact, they are quite the opposite.

Here we see the ethnic "standard" of good looks. And probably due to the averageness of it all, kind of boring. Give me an interesting tho not conventionally attractive face any day.

I think she's right. As I learned from BBC's Documentary The Human Face, an average (= beautiful) face can be a big disadvantage if you hope to become famous. There are high-paid people in Hollywood whose job it is to find and identify interesting (= unusual) faces.

***

Possibly related:

1. You can have more fun averaging faces with the University of Aberdeen's Face Research website.

2. The first thing that came to mind when I saw this is that Seth Roberts would love it. Seth discovered that seeing faces in the morning improved his mood.

3. I find image averaging and sound averaging incredibly interesting and woefully underused. I maintain that one of the most interesting art projects I've seen is Jason Salavon's Late Night Triad in which he amalgamates the opening segments of David Letterman, Jay Leno, and Conan O'Brien. There are other such projects on Salavon's website.

4. I badly wish there was software that easily let laypeople create their own average images. I did some researching tonight and found, downloaded, and installed two potential software packages: Image Stacker and Extended Depth of Field. Both are free but the former has limited features unless you register for $17. Sadly, after a few minutes of play, I could not get either to do what I wanted—but I'll keep trying. Not sure if this is the same as image averaging, but here is a page on "focus stacking" from Wikipedia.

Feb 5, 2011

Wehr in the World in your inbox

Now being offered to the unfortunate people who don't use an RSS reader.

Feb 4, 2011

The Gettysburg of TEDx Talks

In this story, Tyler Cowen chokeslams our must human and our most severe bias.

I have watched it now three times since it was posted over a year ago (a rare video that I feel compelled to re-visit), and each time it gets better.

Feb 3, 2011

Which is less bad: A life of only consumption or a life of only production?

I wasn't really sure what to expect when I asked people two weeks ago to choose between a life of consumption only or production only, but I was afraid it might end up being lopsided. (To refresh your memory, view the original question here.)

Well, there was a clear favorite, but I was delighted that all five answer choices received at least one vote. Here is the tally, represented awkwardly (apologies):



That works out to an average of 0.74, meaning that, on NET, people are between "too tough / I don't know" and "Consumption only, by a little", leaning toward the latter.

I checked the correlations with age and sex, but there was not much action there -- younger people tend to slightly favor production only, but it's a weak relationship. And there is no relationship between people's responses and their sex.

People's explanations for why they chose what they did were very interesting and diverse. I won't try to interpret or synthesize, but you should view the responses here.

I was one of the two who chose "Production only, by far". My brief explanation was that that if you knew that everything you did was ineffectual, then I suspect life would border on unlivable. It would be perfect misery.

A week or month or maybe even a year of consuming whatever you want might be fun, but without the capacity to share those experiences in some way, it sounds like the most nightmarish episode of the Twilight Zone I've ever imagined.

True, only producing is not much dandier, but I think I could still find things worth living for even if it was only writing about my experiences in this hell. I could live knowing that someone might be reading it, and that the message might not be completely ineffectual.

Feb 2, 2011

Squibs

The worst word in the English language is “prepare”. It is a concept that should not exist. There is no time for preparing.

Self-control is really just the art of making the future bigger.

Humans are less willing to wait for food rewards than chimps.

"Knowledge offers comfort. Wisdom feels comfortable with uncertainty."

"Comfortable is just boring with good PR."

Older workers are better than younger workers in every category except one: Solving novel problems under time pressure without aids.

All work is fundamentally about fulfilling human needs, and it becomes satisfying when we bring something personal and uniquely ours to the task.

People are motivated to bring completeness, consistency, and parsimony to all their cognitive structures.

"I’ve never seen anyone change his mind because of the power of a superior argument or the acquisition of new facts. But I’ve seen plenty of people change behavior to avoid being mocked." -Scott Adams

As much as I enjoy the Stephen Colberts and Conan O'Briens of the world, I find shows like theirs somewhat corrosive because everything is parody.

Humility's purpose may be like alcohol's, as a social lubricant.

The evil twins of humility are narcissism and shyness.

"Love is the strongest force the world possess, and yet it is the humblest imaginable."

Feb 1, 2011

Combinatory Play (and its troubling absence in music)

One of the great benefits of being human is that we get to experience pleasure from something as simple as combining old things in new ways and marveling at the unexpected results.

It may be one of the few things that is both pleasurable and productive. Albert you-know-who said that “Combinatory play seems to be the essential feature in productive thought.”

Taking it further, combination is the essential feature in not just productive thought but all thought. There is not really such a thing as original thought. The best we can do is combine old ideas in new ways. Fortunately, given the uncountably many possible combinations that exist in the Universe, most of our combinations end up being "new".

If the essence of creativity (and thought more generally) is combining old ideas in new ways, then I want to know why so many creative types choose to pursue work that fits snugly within existing categories.

That was the feeling I got when I learned of a new band on Sound Opinions called Clive Tanaka y Su Orchestre. Maybe the best way to describe it is, awesomely, “tropical electronica”.

Awesomer still is that it’s probably just one guy, but we know nothing about him. He refuses to put his songs online or even sell a CD. Instead, if you send him $6 he will send you a cassette tape. (Out of admiration, I bought one even though I have nothing to play it on. I was pleasantly surprised to learn that he emails you mp3's along with your cassette purchase.) You can get a taste of his stuff (but not the stuff from the cassette) here.

This "topical electronica" business reminded me of two other musical combinations I found endearing: Hindugrass (Indian classical + bluegress) and Sci-Fi Folk.

And that inspired me to think about what other interesting musical combinations we are missing. My partial dreamed-up list is below. May it pleasure your imagination as it did mine.

gabber jazz
hardcore britpop
electro deutschpunk
emo funk
flamenco viking metal
acoustic rocksteady
motown baroque
celtic reggaeton
saxaphone bluegrass
mali swing
violin thrash metal
funk rockabilly
gypsy dancehall
tropical melodic death metal
electro bhangra
ambient punk
hindi slow jams
afrobeat opera
irish r&b
arabic smooth jazz
post-chillout
polish raggamuffin
latin swing
bollywood blues
ambient pop country
bluegrass slow jams
jazz piano ska
fusion soul train
new age pop punk
disco hip hop
jungle classical
urban folk
experimental americana
neo-soul country
chillout funk
salsa ska
ambient indian
deutschpunk bellydance
technojazz
ambient saxaphone
downtempo freak folk
powerpop polish

Branding and Poop



In Poop Culture, Dave Praeger writes about the irony of the Poop Industry's brand images:

Smiling toddlers and fluffy clouds and teddy bears are darling, but few households are buying toilet paper because they think it's cute. Americans look to their toilets to choke down the burritos we eat and the beer we drink, but toilet manufacturers feign to think that each of us is an interior designer at heart, more concerned about color scheme than with colon scum.

Why the lack of branding and segmentation?

Where is the Jeep of toilets, that mud-splattered workhorse that can send your man-sized crap to the brownest depths of hell? Where is the environmentally friendly flush toilet with the kind of holistic outlook that appeals to hybrid car owners? Where is the toilet for cool people who get laid?

They don't exist, because any attempt to position butt-related products in ways more relevant to the consumer experience would involve acknowledgement of poop, which would immediately alienate those who don't want to be seen as people who poop, much less consumers of poop-related products. Fecal denial is the aggregate reality of the marketplace. And its cost is a lack of segmentation -- an inefficient market too constrained by taboo to realize its profit potential.